Unveiling the Mysteries of Black Bolt and White Flare: A Deep Dive into Pull Rates

Embarking on the Black Bolt and White Flare Adventure

The release of the highly anticipated Pokemon TCG Scarlet & Violet 10.5 Black Bolt Booster Bundle and Pokemon White Flare Booster Pack Japanese 3 Booster Packs Of 7 Cards on July 18, 2025, has sent waves of excitement throughout the Pokemon community. Here at Ultima Supply, we understand the thrill of opening booster packs and the burning questions surrounding booster pack pull rates. To shed light on the elusive card rarity pull rates within these sets, we've delved deep into the data, analyzing a substantial number of packs to bring you the most comprehensive black bolt pull rates and white flare pull rates analysis possible.

A Statistical Look Inside: Methodology and Assumptions

In preparation for launch, the eBay Authentication Center in Kentucky meticulously dissected over 350 booster packs from both the Pokemon Black Bolt Display and the Pokemon White Flare Display Japanisches Display 20 Booster Packs á 7 Karten. While this is a smaller sample compared to previous Pokémon sets, we've combined the data, creating a sample size of over 700 packs. This approach rests on the assumption that both the Black Bolt White Flare sets share remarkably similar pull rates, a reasonable hypothesis considering their simultaneous release and near-identical structure. White Flare contains a single extra illustration rare pull card. This combined dataset empowers us to derive more robust conclusions about the pokemon tcg pull rates across these sets.

The Enigma of the Black White Rare Cards

One significant challenge arose during our investigation. The coveted "Black White Rare Cards" remain shrouded in mystery. These cards, featuring a striking monochromatic design, are highly sought after. The Black Bolt set boasts Zekrom ex black bolt and Victini (numbered 171/086), while White Flare contains Reshiram ex white flare and Victini (numbered 172/086). Despite analyzing over 700 packs, we didn't uncover a single victini black white rare, hindering our ability to provide concrete data on their pull rates. Therefore, the pull rates for black white rare cards is unknown.

Illustration Rares: A Shower of Artistic Treasures

Despite the mystery surrounding the black white rare cards, our analysis reveals some exciting trends. Notably, illustration rare pull cards are significantly easier to obtain in Black Bolt and White Flare compared to other sets within the Scarlet Violet Series. In fact, the odds are roughly doubled! While sets like the original Scarlet & Violet and Destined Rivals offered illustration rare cards at a rate of approximately 1 in 13 and 1 in 12 packs, respectively, Black Bolt and White Flare shower collectors with these stunning cards at an average rate of 1 in 6 packs. With 69 illustration rare cards in the black bolt set list and 70 in the white flare set list, the increased availability is balanced by the sheer volume of cards, making it a challenge to find a specific illustration rare card.

Unprecedented Hit Rates: A Collector's Dream

The overall "hit" rate in Black Bolt and White Flare is remarkably high, especially when considering the inclusion of poke ball foil cards and master ball foil cards. These special parallel foil variants, reminiscent of Prismatic Evolutions, enhance the thrill of opening packs. Unlike previous sets, these foils appear alongside illustration rare cards, rather than replacing them. Considering ultra rare pull rate, special illustration rare, and double rare pull rate, plus the foil variants, collectors can expect a "hit" in approximately 50% of packs. This is the most generous hit rate we've observed in a modern Pokémon set, even more generous than Paldean Fates! Similar to Paldean Fates, the high pull rates will provide consistent rewards, even while the long list of special illustration rare cards leaves you wanting more.

Black Bolt and White Flare: Detailed Pull Rates Breakdown

The following data presents a comprehensive overview of the black bolt white flare pokemon tcg pull rates. The calculations assume similar pull rates across both sets. These values represent the odds per pack, not per box, and utilize a 95% confidence interval based on the normal approximation. It is important to remember that individual experiences will vary due to the random nature of booster packs. This contrasts with data from tcgplayer pull rates, which is aggregated.

Poké Ball Foil Card Pull Rates

In addition to regular versions and Reverse Holo versions, all 80 common, uncommon, and rare cards in Black Bolt and all 80 common, uncommon, and rare cards in White Flare have special Reverse Holo versions featuring a poke ball foil cards pattern.

Any Poké Ball Foil Card: 30.56% ± 3.36% (Approximately 1 in 3 Packs)

Specific Poké Ball Foil Card: 0.21% ± 0.33% (Approximately 1 in 488 Packs)

Double Rare Card Pull Rates

There are six Double Rare cards in the Pokemon Black Bolt Deluxe Display Japanisches Display 4 Deluxe Booster Packs á 35 Karten and six in the Pokemon White Flare Deluxe Display Japanisches Display 4 Deluxe Booster Packs á 35 Karten, including Pokémon ex cards such as Genesect ex and Jellicent ex.

Any Double Rare Card: 21.11% ± 2.98% (Approximately 1 in 5 Packs)

Specific Double Rare Card: 1.76% ± 0.96% (Approximately 1 in 57 Packs)

Ultra Rare Card Pull Rates

There are eight Ultra Rare cards in the cardcosmos Pokémon White Flare Sv11W Booster Box Display with 30 Japanese Booster Packs of 5 Cards and eight in the Pokemon Scarlet & Violet White Flare Elite Trainer Box. The Ultra Rare cards include Full Art Pokémon ex like Meloetta ex, and Full Art Trainers like Hilda.

Any Ultra Rare Card: 5.83% ± 1.71% (Approximately 1 in 17 Packs)

Specific Ultra Rare Card: 0.36% ± 0.44% (Approximately 1 in 274 Packs)

Illustration Rare Card Pull Rates

There are 69 illustration rare cards in Black Bolt and 70 in White Flare, featuring alternate art versions of normal Pokémon like Snivy and Oshawott.

Any Illustration Rare Card: 16.39% ± 2.70% (Approximately 1 in 6 Packs)

Specific Illustration Rare Card: 0.12% ± 0.25% (Approximately 1 in 848 Packs)

Master Ball Foil Card Pull Rates

All 72 common, uncommon, and rare Pokémon cards in Black Bolt and White Flare have special Reverse Holo versions with a master ball foil cards pattern.

Any Master Ball Foil Card: 5.14% ± 1.61% (Approximately 1 in 19 Packs)

Specific Master Ball Foil Card: 0.04% ± 0.14% (Approximately 1 in 2802 Packs)

Special Illustration Rare Card Pull Rates

There are seven special illustration rare cards in both Black Bolt and White Flare, including alternate art Trainer cards like N's Plan, and alternate art Pokémon ex like Hydreigon ex.

Any Special Illustration Rare Card: 1.25% ± 0.81% (Approximately 1 in 80 Packs)

Specific Special Illustration Rare Card: 0.09% ± 0.22% (Approximately 1 in 1120 Packs)

Black White Rare Card Pull Rates

The pull rates for these cards remain unknown, but are likely very low.

Any Black White Rare Card: Unknown

Specific Black White Rare Card: Unknown

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