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What Are the Pull Rates in Pokémon Perfect Order? Full Odds Breakdown (ME03)

  • 16 min reading time

The Pokémon Company doesn't publish pull rates—so we built the data ourselves. Based on 381 packs opened on release day, here's the complete pull rate breakdown for Pokémon Perfect Order: every rarity, every chase card, and an honest verdict on whether it's worth opening.

If you're cracking packs of Pokémon TCG: Mega Evolution—Perfect Order (ME03), the most important question is simple: what are you actually likely to pull? The Pokémon Company doesn't publish official pull rates for any set, so the community has to build its own data. This breakdown is based on 381 packs opened on release day—the most reliable first-day dataset available for Perfect Order.

Whether you're deciding whether to buy a booster box, chasing a specific Special Illustration Rare, or just curious about your odds, this guide covers every rarity, every chase card, and gives you an honest verdict on whether Perfect Order is worth opening.

You can find Perfect Order booster boxes, ETBs, and sealed product at Ultima Supply—guaranteed authentic, sourced from verified distributors.


Pokémon Perfect Order Pull Rates — At a Glance

Here's the quick-reference summary. Full methodology and per-rarity breakdowns follow below.

Rarity Approximate Pull Rate
Pokémon ex ~1 in 5 packs
Illustration Rare (IR) ~1 in 9 packs
Full Art Pokémon (Ultra Rare) ~1 in 24 packs
Full Art Trainer (Ultra Rare) ~1 in 24 packs
Special Illustration Rare (SIR) ~1 in 75 packs
Mega Hyper Rare (Gold Mega Zygarde ex) Rarer than 1 in 100+ packs

Based on 381 packs opened on release day, March 27, 2026. The Pokémon Company does not publish official pull rates—all rates are community-derived estimates.


Where This Pull Rate Data Comes From

The backbone of this dataset is a full case of 216 packs opened by a Drip Shop Live creator called MysticRips on release day. Every rarity was explicitly counted and documented. Two additional creators contributed approximately 100 packs and 65 packs respectively, bringing the total sample to 381 packs.

This is the most statistically meaningful first-day dataset available for Perfect Order (ME03). As more packs are opened over the coming weeks, community estimates will continue to refine. That said, 381 packs is a strong starting point—large enough to establish reliable rates at the common and uncommon rarity levels, and useful for understanding the shape of SIR distribution even if the exact rate will shift slightly.


Full Perfect Order Pull Rate Breakdown by Rarity

Rarity Pull Rate Sample Basis
Pokémon ex ~1 in 5 packs 46 ex / 216 packs (MysticRips, explicit count)
Illustration Rare ~1 in 9 packs 25 IRs / 216 packs (MysticRips, explicit count)
Full Art Pokémon (Ultra Rare) ~1 in 24 packs 9 / 216 packs (MysticRips)
Full Art Trainer (Ultra Rare) ~1 in 24 packs 9 / 216 packs (MysticRips)
Special Illustration Rare ~1 in 75 packs 5 SIRs / 381 packs (all three creators)
Mega Hyper Rare (Gold Mega Zygarde ex) Rarer than 1 in 100+ 0 pulled across 381 packs — no firm rate quotable

What Are Your Real Odds of Pulling a Special Illustration Rare in Perfect Order?

At approximately 1 in 75 packs, you're averaging roughly one SIR every two booster boxes (36 packs each). That average, however, conceals significant variance—and understanding variance is the most important thing to know before you commit to opening product.

Here's how the SIR distribution actually broke down across creators in this dataset:

  • MysticRips (216 packs): 2 SIRs — 1 in 108 (below-average run). Went over 200 packs without a hit, then pulled two in the final stretch—including the Meowth SIR in the very last pack of the case.
  • Creator 2 (~100 packs): 2 SIRs — 1 in 50 (above-average run). Hit at pack 13 and again near pack 90.
  • Creator 3 (~65 packs): 1 SIR — 1 in 65 (near average).

Both outcomes—going 200 packs dry and hitting two SIRs in 100 packs—are completely within normal variance. A single booster box can easily go SIR-less, or yield two. If you're chasing a specific SIR, the secondary market will almost always be more cost-efficient once release hype settles in 2–4 weeks post-launch.


How Many Hits Can You Expect from a Perfect Order Booster Box?

A standard Perfect Order booster box contains 36 packs. Here's what the pull rate data projects per box:

What You Can Expect Estimated Per Box
Pokémon ex ~7–8
Illustration Rares ~4
Full Art Pokémon or Trainer ~1–2
Special Illustration Rare ~0–1 (roughly 1 every 2 boxes on average)
Mega Hyper Rare (Gold Mega Zygarde ex) Very unlikely — budget ~3–5 boxes per copy

The consistent hit rate here — 7–8 ex cards and 4 IRs per box — is genuinely solid. You won't brick a box of Perfect Order the way you might with some earlier Scarlet & Violet-era sets. Where this set underdelivers is at the very top: 6 SIRs and 1 Mega Hyper Rare is a thin chase layer compared to sets like Ascended Heroes.

Ready to open? Shop Perfect Order booster bundles at Ultima Supply—all product is factory sealed and sourced from verified distributors.


Perfect Order Chase Cards: Where the Value Sits

Perfect Order has 6 Special Illustration Rares and 1 Mega Hyper Rare. Here's a breakdown of where value sits as of release day, March 27, 2026.

Special Illustration Rares (SIRs)

  • Meowth SIR — $160–$220 raw. The most sought-after card in the set. Meowth is one of the franchise's most beloved Pokémon and this is one of its only SIRs. High demand from collectors who may have no interest in Mega Evolution as a mechanic. Expect this to hold value better than the rest of the SIR lineup over time.
  • Mega Zygarde ex SIR — ~$185 raw. The cover Pokémon gets the marquee art treatment. Vibrant, dynamic illustration with strong opening-day demand from players and collectors alike. Most likely to fluctuate as the competitive meta settles post-rotation.
  • Rosa's Encouragement SIR — ~$145 raw. The collector's chase trainer card of this set. Rosa is a well-known Unova trainer with consistent demand across sets. Expect this to hold better than most Pokémon SIRs over time.
  • Mega Clefable ex SIR — price stabilizing. Strong art, Clefable is a fan-favorite, but Mega Clefable ex is newer to the competitive scene. Watch this one as the post-rotation format shapes up.
  • Mega Starmie ex SIR — ~$100 raw. A memorable illustration. Lower ceiling than Meowth or Rosa due to character popularity, but distinctive enough to hold collector interest.

Mega Hyper Rare

  • Gold Mega Zygarde ex (Mega Hyper Rare) — $250–$300 raw. The rarest card in the set and in the ME series so far. Zero copies pulled across 381 packs on release day means any pull rate quoted elsewhere is speculative. Budget 3–5 boxes minimum if chasing this card—and the secondary market will almost always be more efficient. See Ultima Supply's full Perfect Order set guide for more detail on the Gold Zygarde.

Best Illustration Rare

  • Clefairy IR — ~$48 raw. The standout illustration rare in the set by a significant margin. $48 for an IR is unusually strong and reflects genuine collector demand. Clefairy art has a dedicated base. This is a pleasant surprise when it hits in a box opening.

Are Perfect Order Pull Rates Good or Bad?

Broadly yes—with one caveat worth understanding before you buy.

The IR rate of approximately 1 in 9 packs is above the Scarlet & Violet-era average, which has historically hovered around 1 in 12 or worse. Standout IRs include Clefairy, Probopass, Espurr, and a sleeping Rowlet—all of which have strong collector appeal. Opening Perfect Order feels rewarding in a way that some recent sets haven't matched at the mid-rarity level.

Where it underdelivers is at the very top. Six SIRs and one gold card is a thin chase layer. The floor is solid; the ceiling is lower than sets like Ascended Heroes. That's an accurate read on this set—it's not a bad product, it's just not a deep one for elite-rarity chasers.

Looking to compare sets before you buy? Ultima Supply's rundown of the most expensive Pokémon cards you can pull right now covers value across multiple sets.


Is Perfect Order Worth Buying? An Honest Verdict by Collector Type

Casual Collectors

Yes. The consistent hit rate, above-average IR quality, and enjoyable pull experience make Perfect Order a solid box to open. You're unlikely to brick a box completely, and the Clefairy IR alone can make a session feel worthwhile.

Collectors Chasing a Specific SIR

Wait. At approximately 1 in 75 packs, you'd spend $270 or more in packs on average just to hit a single SIR—with no guarantee it's the one you want. Once release hype fades in 2–4 weeks, secondary market prices will be far more efficient. Buy the card you want directly.

Sealed Product Investors

Watch and wait. ETBs are moving above retail and booster boxes are selling fast—positive signals for sealed product. However, the thin SIR chase layer limits long-term ceiling. Monitor the market for 2–3 weeks before committing to large sealed positions. Perfect Order ETBs are available at Ultima Supply while stock lasts.

Competitive Players

Get singles. The April 10, 2026 Standard rotation removes G-regulation mark cards from legal play. Perfect Order cards carry the H-regulation mark, making them immediately relevant. Buy the specific cards you need from the secondary market—it'll be cheaper and faster than pulling them through boxes.

Bottom line: Open it for fun, buy singles for play, and let the secondary market come to you if you're hunting a specific SIR.


Frequently Asked Questions: Pokémon Perfect Order Pull Rates

What are the pull rates for Pokémon Perfect Order?

Based on 381 packs opened on release day, the approximate rates are: Pokémon ex roughly 1 in 5 packs, Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 9 packs, Full Art Pokémon or Trainer roughly 1 in 24 packs, Special Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 75 packs, and the Mega Hyper Rare (Gold Mega Zygarde ex) rarer than 1 in 100+ packs—it was not pulled in any of the 381 packs tracked.

How many Illustration Rares are in a Perfect Order booster box?

A standard 36-pack booster box should yield approximately 4 Illustration Rares on average. The standout IR in this set is Clefairy, which has been selling for around $48 raw due to strong collector demand.

What are the odds of pulling a Special Illustration Rare in Perfect Order?

Approximately 1 in 75 packs, which works out to roughly one SIR per two booster boxes on average. Variance is significant—don't count on pulling one per box.

What is the rarest card in Perfect Order?

The Gold Mega Zygarde ex (Mega Hyper Rare) is the rarest card in the set. Zero copies were pulled across 381 packs on release day, making it impossible to calculate a firm pull rate. Budget 3–5 boxes minimum if you're chasing it, and consider the secondary market first.

How does Perfect Order compare to Ascended Heroes for pull rates?

The IR rate in Perfect Order (~1 in 9) is competitive with Ascended Heroes and above the SV-era average. However, Perfect Order has a thinner chase layer at the top—6 SIRs and 1 gold card compared to Ascended Heroes' deeper lineup. If you're chasing ultra-rare cards specifically, Ascended Heroes offers more variety.

Is Perfect Order worth buying for collectors?

For casual collectors who enjoy opening packs, yes—the hit rate is solid and IR quality is above average. For collectors targeting a specific SIR, the secondary market will almost always be more cost-efficient once release-day hype settles. At roughly 1 in 75 packs per SIR, you'd spend $270+ in packs on average per hit.

What is the Mega Hyper Rare in Perfect Order?

The Mega Hyper Rare is the Gold Mega Zygarde ex—a full gold card and the hardest card to pull in the set. It was selling for $250–$300 raw on release day, reflecting its extreme rarity. It is the rarest card in the ME Series so far.

Does Perfect Order affect the April 2026 Standard rotation?

Perfect Order cards carry the H-regulation mark, meaning they are immediately legal in Standard play and will remain legal through at least the next rotation cycle. The April 10, 2026 rotation removes G-regulation mark cards—Perfect Order is unaffected and immediately relevant for competitive play.


Pull rate data disclaimer: All rates are sourced from 381 packs opened on release day, March 27, 2026, including 216 packs from one creator, plus approximately 100 and 65 packs from two additional creators. All rates are community estimates based on observed pulls. The Pokémon Company does not publish official pull rate data. Rates will refine as more packs are opened.

Price disclaimer: Card prices referenced are based on raw card sales observed on release day, March 27, 2026. Pokémon card prices fluctuate based on market demand, graded population, and secondary market activity. Check current listings before making any purchase decisions.


Shop Perfect Order Sealed Product

Looking to open some packs? Ultima Supply stocks the full Perfect Order lineup—booster boxes, Elite Trainer Boxes, booster bundles, and more—all 100% authentic and sourced from verified distributors.

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